Training & Workshops
Danish Energy Agency and DTU Management Engineering (Copenhagen, Denmark) – Regular Winter Workshop
Title: 2014 – Regular Winter Workshop
Host: Danish Energy Agency and DTU Management Engineering
Venue: UN City, Marmorvej 51, Copenhagen Ø (Denmark) UN City Conference centre
Date: November 17-19, 2014
Contacts: Kenneth Karlsson, George Giannakidis
Programme – Summary
November 17, 2014 (09:00-16:00) – Energy Modelling in Denmark Workshop
November 17, 2014 (16:00-18:00) – Electro-mobility and EV-STEP Regional workshop
November 18, 2014 (09:30-16:00) – ETSAP Regular Workshop
November 18, 2014 (16:00-18:00) – ETSAP Executive Committee
Participation restricted to ETSAP Delegates, officers, and invited experts.
Agenda and attachments are sent separately.
November 19, 2014 (09:00-12:30) – TIMES-CGE Workshop
November 19, 2014 (09:00-12:30) – ETSAP-TIAM Press room
November 20, 2014 (09:00-13:00) – Excursion to waste incineration / CHP plant in Copenhagen
November 20-21, 2015 (09:00-17:00) – Basic training course on VEDA-TIMES
Programme – Detailed
UNEP DTU Partnership (formerly UNEP Risø Centre), which is part of DTU Management Engineering, moved to UN City in April 2014. The new UN city building in Nordhavn hosts many of the UN agencies located in Copenhagen. The UN City is part of the new urban development in the North Harbour of Copenhagen, located only a few kilometres north of the city centre.
November 17, 2014 (09:00-16:00)
Energy Modelling in Denmark Workshop
The opening session will focus on energy system perspectives relevant for Denmark. The key topics for energy modelling are presented, such as energy savings, wind integration and district heating. Several Danish institutions, including the Danish Energy Agency, will present and discuss scenarios for a fossil-free Danish energy system towards 2050.
8:30-9:00
Registration, UN security check
9:30
Welcome Auditorium II
Kristoffer Steen Andersen, (Energistyrelsen / DEA)
Kenneth Karlsson, (DTU)Opening Remarks, Introduction of the IEA ETSAP workshop and associated events
Overview of forecasting tools used for planning by DEA
9:45-11:25
Session 1: Energy Modelling in Denmark 1
Chair: Rikke Næraa, DEA
Peter Bach, Energistyrelsen / DEA
Energy consumption: Highlights and future development
Highlights for energy savings / energy efficiency in Denmark and the presentation of the consumption model, used for projecting the future consumption for the 2050 scenarios
Sigurd Lauge Pedersen, Energistyrelsen / DEA
Scenarios for a fossil free Danish Energy System in 2050
Presentation of the Energy Balance model and results followed by Q&A
11:25-12:00
Coffee Break
12:00-13:30
Session 2: Energy Modelling in Denmark 2
Chair: Kenneth Karlsson, DTU
Olexandr Balyk, DTU
The effect of microscale spatial variability of wind on estimation of technical and economic wind potential
Karsten Hedegaard, Ea Energy Analyses
Heat planning for the Greater Copenhagen area
Stefan Petrovic, DTU
Heat savings and District heating in TIMES-DK
13:30-14:30
Lunch
14:30-15:30
Session 3: Energy Modelling in Denmark 3
Chair: Peggy Mischke, DTU
Akram SANDVALL, Chalmers
Economic impact of large-scale utilisation of excess heat – assessment through regional modelling
Pernille Seljom, IFE/NTNU
Stochastic modelling of short-term uncertainty in TIMES – A case study of wind power in Denmark
15:30-16:00
Coffee Break
November 17, 2014 (16:00-18:00)
Electro-mobility and EV-STEP Regional workshop
The EV-STEP project will develop a framework for an integrated assessment in order to assess the key technical and economic conditions of an increased electrification of European transport systems. The modelling framework includes the Pan-European TIMES and IMACLIM models for electrical vehicles. This session will focus on technology modelling, while the soft linking to a CGE model will be presented in the TIMES-CGE workshop on Wednesday.
16:00-17:30
Session 4: Electro-mobility and EV-STEP Regional workshop
Chair:Poul Erik Grohnheit, DTU
Assoumou, Edi, Mines ParisTech
EV-STEP project presentation
Jerome Houel – Mines ParisTech CMA, France
France case study – Model based analysis of the deployment of electric vehicles in the Paris Ile de France Region
Markus Blesl, IER
The role of Electrical vehicles in Europe
Subash Dhar – UNEP DTU Partnership
India case study – Future of Electric Vehicles in Road Passenger Mobility of India
Poul Erik Grohnheit, DTU
Choice of aggregated parameters for integration of electric vehicles to grid in a TIMES model for a region dominated by wind power
November 18, 2014 (09:30-16:00)
ETSAP Regular Workshop
The core of the semi-annual workshops contains presentations of applications of ETSAP modelling tools, MARKAL and TIMES for local, national and global models focusing on a wide range of technologies.
8:30
Registration, UN security check
9:30-10:30
Session 1: ETSAP Regular Workshop 1
Chair: George Giannakidis, CRES
Arne Lind, Institute for Energy Technology, Norway
How Do Various Risk Factors Influence the Green Certificate Market of Norway and Sweden?
Pernille Seljom, Institute for Energy Technology, Norway
Time-slice and regional structure – Experiences with NET- model
STRACHAN, Neil, UCL
The New Modelling-Policy Interface: Developing a Fully Open Source UK TIMES Model
Sean Collins, UCC
Scrutinizing electricity sector results from PRIMES Energy System model using soft-linking methodology
10:30-11:00
Coffee Break
11:00-12:30
Session 2: ETSAP Regular Workshop 2
Chair:Pernille Seljom, IFE/NTNU TBC
Kannan Ramachandran, PSI
Transition to a secure and low-carbon Swiss energy system
O’Gallachoir, Brian, UCC
Energy systems & power systems modelling, Comparing Experiences in Ireland and Japan (Tentative)
Selosse, Sandrine, MPT/CMA
TIMES-America Latina y el Caribe: a TIMES model dedicated to South America and the Caribbean
Welsch, Julia, IER
Modelling of storage processes in TIMES
12:30-13:00
Lunch
13:00-13:30
UN City Visit
Surabhi, UNEP DTU Partnership
Guided tour of UN city building – UN city building concept and energy / water efficiency features
13:30-15:00
Session 3: ETSAP Regular Workshop 3
Chair:Neil Strachan, UCL, TBC
Mulholland, Eamonn, UCC
Soft-Linking a TIMES Model and Sectoral Simulation Model for Individual Policy Measures
Sgobbi, Alessandra, EC JRC
The role of hydrogen in the medium and long-term decarbonisation of the European energy system
Simoes, Sofia, NUL
Back to the Future – Assessing two decades of energy projections and scenarios using TIMES for Portugal
15:00-15:45
Session 4: ETSAP tools workshop
Chair:Brian O´Gallachoir, UCC
Goldstein, Gary, Dec.Ware Inc.
November 17-19, 2014_t12-wb-cspp&atv2xlsupd(v01)
Lehtila, Antti, VTT
Making TIAM-MACRO-SA an Integrated Assessment Model
Noble, Ken, Noble- Soft Systems
ANSWER-TIMES update
Giorgio Simbolotti, GianCarlo Tosato
ETSAP ETechsDS: Data Normalization Project
November 19, 2014 (9:00-12:30)
TIMES-CGE Workshop
Second IEA-ETSAP funded workshop on methods linking energy systems models to economic models. In the previous workshop in UCC, Cork, February 2014 it was decided that a certain level of harmonising of presentations and papers would be useful for easier comparison of methods & approaches in the follow up workshop is used in several countries with focus on selected technologies.
8:30
Registration, UN security check
9:30-10:30
Session 1: ETSAP Regular Workshop 1
Chair:Brian O Gallachoir, UCC
Brian O Gallachoir, University College Cork
Opening Remarks
Per Ivar Helgesen, Norwegian University of Science and Technology
Comparing linking versus integration in hybrid modelling – combining TIMES with CGE models
Patrícia Fortes CENSE/Nova University of Lisbon
Are green goals too optimistic? Exploring the impacts of renewable energy on the Portuguese economy using an hybrid modelling approach
Kristoffer Steen Andersen, Danish Energy Agency
IntERACT: Coupling TIMES_DK and CGE
Sarah Stanley, Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland
Ireland’s Sustainable Energy Investment Model (SEIM)
Maria Rosa Virdis, ENEA
ENEA Hybrid modelling: linking energy systems models with economic models
10:30-11:00
Coffee Break
11:00-12:30
Session 2: TIMES-CGE Workshop 2
Chair: Niel Strachan, UCL (TBC)
Hiroshi Hamasaki, Fujitsu Research Institute
Technology Bundle Approach with Parameter estimated from Bottom-up model to Integrate between Top-down and Bottom-up Model
S. Kypreos (PSI) and E. Panos
Integrating the TDBU-ETSAP models in MCP format
Matthew Winning, University College London
Ongoing Macro-Stand Alone and CGE modelling approaches at UCL Energy Institute
James Glynn, University College Cork
Modelling global macroeconomic impacts of a carbon constrained energy system using ETSAP-TIAM-MSA
Peggy Mischke, DTU
Benchmarking energy scenarios for China: Perspectives from top-down, economic and bottom-up, technical modelling
12:30-13:30
Lunch
13:30-16:10
Session 3: TIMES-CGE Workshop 3
Chair: James Glynn, UCC
Frédéric Ghersi, SMASH, CIRED
A TIAM/IMACLIM bottom-up/top-down linkage: application to a prospective Outlook of electric vehicle penetration in EU28,
Robert Beestermöller, IER
Energy and macro-economic effects of decentralisation trends in the European electricity sector
Tara Caetano, Energy Research Centre, SA
Economy-wide Implications of Policy and Uncertainty in the Power Sector of South Africa: A Linked Modelling Approach
Sophie Maire, Frank Vöhringer, EPFL/LEURE and Econability
Linking electricity prices and costs in bottom-up top-down coupling under changing market environments
14:45-15:30
Coffee Break
15:30-16:10
TIMES – CGE Project Discussion
Open Discussion to Project Partners
Next Steps – Book Chapter, Special Issue Journal Papers to feed into COP next year, Final Focus Group Workshop
16:10-17:00
Session 4: TIMES CGE Workshop 4
Chair: Brian O´Gallachoir, UCC
Francois Briens, MINES ParisTech
Developing a Soft Linkage between a detailed dynamic input-output macroeconomic model and a MarkAl energy system model
Markus Blesl, IER
Role of biomass in the energy system – linkages between the European energy system model TIMES PanEU and the agricultural Sector Model ESIM
Tom Kober, ECN, Phil Summerton, Cambridge Econometrics
Climate change mitigation in Latin America: requirements for the energy sector and impacts on the economy
November 19, 2014 (9:00-12:30)
ETSAP-TIAM Press room
The ETSAP-TIAM collaboration started in 2011. The aim is to develop a harmonised global model based on the experience from many teams running the model for various purposes.
8:30
Registration, UN security check
9:00-10:30
Session 1: ETSAP TIAM Workshop 1
Chair: Markus Blesl, IER, TBC
Markus Blesl, IER
Status of ETSAP-TIAM
Kober, Tom, ECN
GHG emission reduction due to energy efficiency measures under climate policy
Mousavi, Babak, IER
Global decarbonisation pathways: Contribution of different options in CO2 reduction: TIAM-MACRO, Decomposition analysis
Napp, Tamaryn, EICL
“Taking on TIAM” a new user´s experience and lessons learned
10:30-11:00
Coffee Break
11:00-12:30
Session 2: ETSAP TIAM Workshop 2
Chair: Markus Blesl, IER, TBC
Christophe McGlade, UCL
A Bridge to a Low-Carbon Future? Modelling the Long-Term Global. Potential of Natural Gas
Markus Blesl, IER
Discussion on the next period working on ETSAP-TIAM
12:30-13:00
Lunch
November 20, 2014 (9:00-13:00)
Excursion to waste incineration / CHP plant in Copenhagen
Address: Kraftværksvej 31, bus 40 Meeting Point inside the Central Train Station at 8:30
Organised by: Poul-Erik Grohnheit and Peggy Mischke (DTU)
We will visit the Amager Resource Centre (formerly Amagerforbrænding), located a few km from the Copenhagen city centre. The plant has produced district heating since 1970 and electricity since 1990 via the incineration of urban municipal waste.