Uzbekistan 2023
Country Climate and Development Report

Uzbekistan’s Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) provides an integrated assessment of how the country can pursue economic growth while addressing rising climate risks and aligning with long‑term decarbonization goals. The analysis evaluates current emissions trends, sectoral vulnerabilities, and institutional readiness, offering a transparent baseline for identifying gaps between existing policies and the actions required to achieve resilient, low‑carbon development.
The report applies scenario‑based modelling to explore how climate change, water scarcity, and energy system constraints could affect Uzbekistan’s growth trajectory. It examines the implications of maintaining current policies versus accelerating reforms in areas such as renewable energy deployment, energy efficiency, land and water management, and climate‑smart agriculture. This provides a consistent reference point for testing the impact of potential new measures and prioritizing investments.
The findings also inform long‑term strategic planning across key sectors, including power generation, irrigation, transport, and urban development. By identifying institutional, financial, and regulatory gaps, the CCDR supports the design of policies that strengthen climate governance, mobilize climate finance, and enhance resilience to droughts, heatwaves, and water‑energy‑food system pressures. Together, these assessments contribute to a policy cycle aimed at monitoring progress, addressing shortfalls, and guiding the development of future climate and development strategies.
Model
KiNESYS_CenAsia
Policy impacts
- Provided the first integrated climate–development baseline for assessing Uzbekistan’s mitigation and adaptation needs across energy, water, agriculture, and social sectors.
- Informed national climate‑policy reforms.
- Identified priority policy gaps in energy pricing, water governance, agricultural incentives, and social protection, guiding the government’s short‑ and medium‑term reform agenda.
- Supported strategic investment planning by quantifying long‑term needs for decarbonization, energy efficiency, irrigation modernization, and climate‑resilient infrastructure.
- Strengthened evidence‑based decision‑making through macroeconomic and distributional modeling of the green transition.
Reference
World Bank (2023). Uzbekistan – Country Climate and Development Report. Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group.
