Uzbekistan 2023

Country Climate and Development Report   

Uzbekistan’s Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) provides an integrated assessment of how the country can pursue economic growth while addressing rising climate risks and aligning with long‑term decarbonization goals. The analysis evaluates current emissions trends, sectoral vulnerabilities, and institutional readiness, offering a transparent baseline for identifying gaps between existing policies and the actions required to achieve resilient, low‑carbon development. 

The report applies scenario‑based modelling to explore how climate change, water scarcity, and energy system constraints could affect Uzbekistan’s growth trajectory. It examines the implications of maintaining current policies versus accelerating reforms in areas such as renewable energy deployment, energy efficiency, land and water management, and climate‑smart agriculture. This provides a consistent reference point for testing the impact of potential new measures and prioritizing investments. 

The findings also inform long‑term strategic planning across key sectors, including power generation, irrigation, transport, and urban development. By identifying institutional, financial, and regulatory gaps, the CCDR supports the design of policies that strengthen climate governance, mobilize climate finance, and enhance resilience to droughts, heatwaves, and water‑energy‑food system pressures. Together, these assessments contribute to a policy cycle aimed at monitoring progress, addressing shortfalls, and guiding the development of future climate and development strategies.  

Model

KiNESYS_CenAsia

Policy impacts

  • Provided the first integrated climate–development baseline for assessing Uzbekistan’s mitigation and adaptation needs across energy, water, agriculture, and social sectors.  
  • Informed national climatepolicy reforms.
  • Identified priority policy gaps in energy pricing, water governance, agricultural incentives, and social protection, guiding the government’s short and mediumterm reform agenda.  
  • Supported strategic investment planning by quantifying longterm needs for decarbonization, energy efficiency, irrigation modernization, and climateresilient infrastructure.  
  • Strengthened evidencebased decisionmaking through macroeconomic and distributional modeling of the green transition.

 

  

 

Reference

World Bank (2023)Uzbekistan – Country Climate and Development Report. Washington, D.C. : World Bank Group.