Ireland 2022

Approval of first carbon budgets by the Irish Parliament

Ireland’s Climate Act in 2021 established a legal obligation to achieve a 51% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 relative to 2018 levels — one of the most ambitious national targets globally. The Act also introduced fiveyear Carbon Budgets and sectoral emissions ceilings as legally binding governance tools. The Climate Change Advisory Council formed a Carbon Budgets Committee to design the first set of budgets for 2021–2025 and 2026–2030, drawing on detailed analysis from the TIMES energy system model alongside agricultural and landuse models. This scenariobased modelling was essential for exploring feasible decarbonisation pathways, assessing technology deployment requirements, and ensuring alignment with EU obligations, the Paris Agreement, and national economic considerations. This analysis formed a significant part of the evidence used by the Climate Change Advisory Council to propose the first set of carbon budget recommendations that were subsequently approved by the Irish Oireachtas (Parliament).

Model

TIMES‑Ireland Model (TIM)

Policy impacts

  • Provided the analytical foundation for Ireland’s first legally binding carbon budgets under the Climate Act 2021.
  • Demonstrated the technical feasibility of achieving the legislated 51% emissions reduction target by 2030.
  • Strengthened crossparty confidence in the budgets, enabling adoption by Parliament without the need for a vote.

Reference

Houses of the Oireachtas (2022). Joint Committee on Environment and Climate Action Report on the proposed Carbon Budgets.

Daly H. Smith A. Aryanpur V. Gaur A. McGuire J. Yue X. Glynn J. Balyk O. (2021) Carbon Budget Scenarios for Ireland’s Energy System, 2021-50 (v1.0) [Data set]. Zenodo. 

Climate Change Advisory Council (2021) Carbon Budget Technical Report. 96 p.

Balyk O. Glynn J. Aryanpur V. Gaur A. McGuire J. Smith A. Yue X. Daly H. (2021). TIM: Modelling pathways to meet Ireland’s long-term energy system challenges with the TIMES-Ireland Model (v1.0), Geoscientific Model Development 15 (12): 4991–5019.

Balyk O. Glynn J. Aryanpur V. Gaur A. McGuire J. Smith A. Yue X. Chiodi A. Gargiulo M. Daly H. (2021). TIMES-Ireland Model (v1.0). Zenodo.