Stanford July 2011

Semi-annual ETSAP meeting

Semi-annual ETSAP meeting

Final Program

Dates: July, 06-13, 2011
Venue: Stanford University, Palo Alto, California (US)
See map at
Contacts: GianCarlo Tosato, [This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.]
Susan Sweeney [This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.]

Wednesday-Friday, July 06-08, 2011
Arrillaga Alumni Center
IEW 2010

The following IEA-ETSAP tools related presentations are posted at

Stéphanie Bouckaert. Towards A Shared Optimum For Water And Energy Resources: A Focus On The Middle East Using The TIAM-FR Model

  • Session: Cross-cutting Land Use Issues | Wed., 3:45pm |

Chiodi Alessandro. Modelling Electricity Generation - Comparing Results From a Power Systems Model and an Energy Systems Model

  • Session: Energy Technology Modeling | Fri., 2pm |

Jan Duerinck. Residential Fuel Demand Elasticities: What Lesson's Can Be Learned From Bottom-Up And Top-Down Methodologies

  • Session: Energy Efficiency and End-Use Demand 1 | Wed., 11:30am |

Birgit Goetz. How To Integrate Feed-In Tariffs In Energy System Models - The Case Of Germany

  • Session: Renewable Energy 2 | Wed., 2pm |

Amit Kanudia. Low Carbon Policies and Transmission Investment Analysis in a New Multi-region US Power Sector TIMES Model

  • Session: Renewable Energy 3 | Wed., 3:45pm |

Maryse Labriet. In Depth Exploration of Uncertain Technology and Policy Scenarios For Achieving Climate Stabilization: A TIAM-WORLD Analysis

  • Session: Integrated Assessment: Climate Stabilization | Fri., 11:30am |

Audrey J. Lee. The Role of RD&D Investments in Utility-Scale Energy Storage to Support the Integration of Variable Renewable Generation

  • Session: Renewable Energy 3 | Wed., 3:45pm |

Nadia Maizi. A TIMES Model Of The Reunion Island For Analysing The Reliability Of Electricity Supply

  • Session: Electricity Grids and Transmission Infrastructure | Fri., 2pm |

Brian O'Gallachoir. Bottom Up Modelling Of The Potential For Energy Savings Due To The National Retrofit Programme For Ireland's Housing Stock

  • Session: Energy Efficiency and End-Use Demand 1 | Wed., 11:30 |

Uwe Remme. Energy Technology Perspectives 2010

  • Session: Energy-Economy Projections | Fri., 11:30am |

Sandrine Selosse. Climate Scenarios For Developing And Developed Countries: A Prospective Analysis With TIAM-FR

  • Session: Integrated Assessment: Mitigation and Adaptation 2 | Thur., 3:45|

Fu Sha. Scenario Study on China's Low Carbon Future and Technology Option Based on A Bottom-up Model

  • Session: China Climate Policy | Thur., 11:30am |

GianCarlo Tosato. Methodological Advances In Modelling Global Climate Change Mitigation And Regional Energy Systems Security

  • Session: Energy Security | Fri., 11:30am |

Kathleen Vaillancourt. Unconventional Oil Production Over The 2030 Horizon: An Analysis Of Canadian Energy And GHG Emission Policies With The TIMES-Canada Model

  • Session: Oil Markets, Unconventional Oil, and Climate Policy| Thur., 2pm |

Deniswe Van Regemorter. Economic Analysis Of The Copenhagen Accord: Implications For The EU And Other Major Countries

  • Session: International Policy Negotiations | Wed., 11:30am |

Sonia Yeh. Modeling Optimal Transition Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy in California: Impacts of Advanced Vehicles and Fuels on the Energy System

  • Session: Transportation Modeling: Alternative Vehicles | Thur., 2pm |



Saturday July 09, 2011 (9:00-12:45)
ETSAP Regular Workshop

See next pages; updates at IEA-ETSAP.

Saturday, July 09 (14:00-15:15)
Huang Engineering Center, 475 Via Ortega, room 305
Program of Work Options

15:15-15:45 Afternoon Break

Saturday July 09 (15:45-17:15)
Huang Engineering Center, 475 Via Ortega, room 305
ETSAP Executive Committee

(Participation restricted to Delegates, ETSAP officers, invited experts)
(Agenda and attachments are sent separately)

Monday-Wednesday July 11-13 (09:00-17:30)
Huang Engineering Center, 475 Via Ortega, room 305
TIMES - VEDA Training

The program is posted at IEA-ETSAP. Participation: if you are interested, contact This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. and This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Saturday, July 09, 2011
Regular ETSAP Workshop, Room A

Venue: TRESIDDER Building, Santa Teresa Str., Stanford University, Palo Alto, California (US)
Shuttle from Cardenal Hotel - Sheraton to TRESIDDER in the morning,
From TRESIDDER to Sheraton - Cardenal Hotel after lunch
Contacts Susan Sweeney [This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.], office: +650-324-1653; cell 650-787-4331
GianCarlo Tosato, [This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.], cell: +39.335.537.7675

Parallel Session A1: Global and National Energy Models (Oak Lounge West)
Chair: Maryse Labriet
Gabrial Anandarajah, Energy Institute, University College London, UK Economics of hydrogen: Applying global technology learning in TIAM-UCL
Nicklas Forsell, Mines, Paris Tech, Sophia Antipolis, France Development of bio-energy sector and its links to forest management and industries
Kenneth Karlsson, Risoe; Pernille Seljom, IFE; Wouter Nijs, VITO; A global or a partial climate agreement – what difference does it make?
Kenneth Karlsson, Risoe National Laboratory, Technical University of Denmark, China’s role in global climate change mitigation: the Chinese potential for biomass & CCS
George Giannakidis, CRES, Athens, Greece The Greek Energy System in 2050 – GHG mitigation options
Yu-Feng Chou, Miao-Shan Tsai, Jing-Wei Kou, Tzu-Yar Liu, Industrial Technology
Reasearch Institute, ITRI, Taiwan Ming-Chin Chuang, Chin-Wei Wu, Chi-Liang Tsai, Su-Chen Weng, Bureau of Energy,
Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan
MARKAL-Taiwan Application for Low Carbon Electricity Measures

11:00-11:20 Morning Break

Parallel Session A2: National Energy Models (Oak Lounge West)
Chair: Kenneth Karlsson
João Pedro Gouveia, Sofia Simões, CENSE – New University of Lisbon, Portugal Competitiveness of different renewable electricity generation technologies: case study of Portugal 2020-2050
Gabrial Anandarajah, University College London, UK 2 region UK MARKAL model: development and results
Joe De Carolis, North Carolina State University, US Design and Application of a US TIMES Model
Arne Lind, Pernille M. Sire Seljom, IFE, Norway The Future Norwegian Energy System in a European context
Roman Podolets, Oleksander Diachuk, IEF, Ukrainian National Academy of Science, Kiev Ukrainian Emission Targets for the Post-Kyoto Period

13:00-14:00 Lunch Break

Parallel Session B1: Methodology (Cypress)
Chair: Joe De Carolis
Denise Van Regemorter, Wim Benoot KUL; Wouter Nijs, VITO; Belgium Energy diversification through fuel price variation within TIMES
Fabian Kesicki, University College London, UK Why are MAC curves robust to different fossil fuel prices? An application to the UK power sector
Kostas Tigas, CRES, Athens, Greece Probabilistic Generation Expansion Planning under Wide-Scale Wind Energy Penetration
Camille Fertel, Jean-Philippe Waaub, Yuri Alcocer, Olivier Bahn, Kathleen Vaillancourt, GERAD, Montreal, Canada Modeling Energy Security: Critical approach and application to energy corridors in TIMES-Canada
Jürgen-Fr. Hake, Peter Markewitz, Dag Martinsen, Thiemo Pesch, FZ Juelich, Germany Comparison of model based energy scenarios for Germany and methodical outlook
Kenneth C. Hoffman, The MITRE Corporation, US Perspectives on the Validation of Energy System Models for Long-Term Projections

11:00-11:20 Morning Break

Parallel Session B2: End use sectors and others (Cypress)
Chair: Kathleen Vaillancourt
Hannah Daly, University College Cork, Ireland An integrated energy systems and stock modelling approach for modelling future private car energy demand
Jean-Michel Cayla, Households under carbon constraint: what policies for a pathway toward low-carbon consumption in France?
Roman Kanala, Emmanuel Fragniere, Nathalie Turin, University of Geneve, Switzerland Developing Energy and Environmental Planning Scenarios Based on Ethno-methodology: a Case Study Conducted for the Residential Sector in Geneva
Kalai Ramea, University of California, Davis, US Energy-Economic-Environment Model for Policy Analysis in California: Elastic Demand & Sensitivity Analysis in MARKAL/TIMES
Fabio Lanati, RSE Spa, Milan, Italy The Italian power system: evolution towards the targets of the National Renewable Energy Action Plan and over

13:00-14:00 Lunch Break