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Short term versus long term energy planning

Workshop on Short term versus long term energy planning

Workshop on Short term versus long term energy planning

Considering temporal trade-offs in decarbonisation pathways

Dates: 28th – 29th April 2016
Venue: Senate House, Malet Street, London WC1E 7HU

Day 1, Thursday April 28th 2016


11.00 – 11:30

Registration
11:30 – 11:45 Welcome and introduction
Neil Strachan, UCL Energy Institute, WholeSEM, UK
Francesco Fuso Nerini, UCL Energy Institute, UK
11:45 – 12:30 Keynote address
David Joffe, Committee on Climate Change, UK

12:30 – 13:30

Lunch

13:30 – 15:00

Session 1: Insights from TIMES-based myopic models 1
Arne Lind &Eva Rosenberg, Institute for Energy Technology (IFE), Norway Implications of Limited Foresight on Wind Park Investments in Norway
Francesco Fuso Nerini, University College London, UK The myopic UKTM model: lessons learned for reaching UK’s climate targets
Anna KrookRiekkola, Luleå University of Technology, Sweden Modelling Climate Policy Recommendations for Sweden
Markus Blesl, University of Stuttgart, Germany Myopic Times and the PanEU model

15:00 – 15:30

Coffee break

15:30 – 17:00

Session 2: Integrating optimization and dispatch energy models
Marianne Zeyringer, University College London, UK Modelling long- term energy pathways with high shares of variable renewable energy sources
Paul Deane, University College Cork, Ireland Soft-linking Energy Models: Best of both worlds or just getting the wrong answer quicker?
Manuel Welsch, International Atomic Energy Agency, Austria Incorporating flexibility into long-term energy systems models

17:00 – 17:30

Discussion

19:00 – 21:00

Dinner at the ‘Pescatori’ restaurant
(57 Charlotte St, London W1T 4PD)

Day 2, Friday April 29th 2016


8.30 – 9:00

Coffee break

09:00 – 10:30

Session 3: Insights from TIMES-based myopic models 2
Helena Cabal and Yolanda Lechón, Centro de InvestigacionesEnergéticas, Medio Ambientales y Tecnológicas (CIEMAT), Spain The effect of foresight on the evolution of energy strategic indicators using the TIMES-Spain energy model
Rajesh Mathew Pattupara,Energy Economics Group, Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland Analysing the impact of short-term vs long-term planning horizon on EU and Swiss electricity systems: myopic vs clairvoyant EUSTEM and STEM models
N. Maïzi, MINES ParisTech, France Time-scale reconciliation to shed light on the plausibility of long-term low carbon pathways: power system issues

10:30 – 11:00

Coffee break

11:00 – 12:30

Session 4 – Dealing with time trade-offs in other modelling frameworks
Oisin Tummon, Statkraft, Norway An industry perspective on challenges in modelling power markets beyond current policies
Hans Ravn, Aeblevangen, Denmark Balmorel investments with various decision horizons and uncertainty
Chris Bataille, Simon Fraser University, Canada Short and long run decision making in the CIMS and RGEEM hybrid technology simulation and CGE models
Kris Poncelet, KU Leuven, Belgium Myopic Optimization Models for Simulation of Investment Decisions in the Power Sector

12:30 – 13:30

Lunch break
13:30 – 14:30 Panel discussion
Ilkka Keppo, University College London, UK
Peter Taylor, University of Leeds, UK
Markus Blesl, University of Stuttgart, Germany
Manuel Welsch, International Atomic Energy Agency, Austria
Chris Dent, Durham University, UK
14:30 – 15:30 Way forward, special journal issue and review paper
Francesco Fuso Nerini, University College London, UK
Marianne Zeyringer, University College London, UK

15:30

Closure of day 2